Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Hidden X Factor

A lot of bigshots are throwing out stats to try and justify their opinions with regards to the Oregon-Cal game. One statistic that I feel is being overlooked is how poorly Nate Longshore has played on the road during his career.

16-29 146 yds @ Colorado State
11-20 85 yds 1 INT @ Tennessee
22-31 341 yds 4 TD 1 INT @ Oregon State
17-31 176 yds 2 INT @ Washington State
17-36 250 yds 1 TD 3 INT @ Arizona
17-38 176 yds 1 TD 2 INT @ USC

Out of Longshore's 6 career road games, he has really only played good in one of them, and that was against an OSU team that lost at home to WSU the following week.

Dennis Dixon's stats have also been lauded by the pundits, but while he has been great one the road this season, he struggled in his two games this season at Autzen. Against Houston I honestly thought Dixon would get benched at halftime, and against Fresno, Dixon just didnt seem to have the crispness that elite Quarterbacks have. In fact one could argue that Dixon hasn't played a good home game since the Stanford game of last season.

If both Longshore and Dixon continue to play the way their home and away stats would indicate, expect a sloppy low scoring game where the winning QB is the one who makes the fewest mistakes.

BaldingReport out.