Tuesday, June 26, 2007

The NBA Draft

The NBA Draft is just around the corner and this means that we will be hearing the word upside and wingspan about 4,000 times in the next two days. In case people don't want to listen to Jay Bilas describe how well the prospects can guard the chair he sits in, I am offering my own NBA draft analysis right here in the BaldingReport.

White guy most likely to be selected way to high: Spencer Hawes. Why any team would draft Hawes is beyond me. He can barely jump over quarter and he rebounds worse than an Oregon post player. He is Chris Mihm reincarnated.

College senior who everyone thinks will contribute right away yet will do nothing: Tie between Al Thornton and Acie Law. Thornton is already 24 meaning he played in college this past season despite being 2 years older than Lebron James. He is like the 6 foot tall kid in 4th grade who everyone thinks is good until everyone grows as tall as him. Then everyone realized, man that kid sucked.

Law on the other hand is being billed as a "great leader" who can step in and run a team right away. Joey Harrington was also billed as a great leader and his career turned out great.

Sleeper pick: Mike Conley
In the NBA there are only two positions that actually impact how good your team is PG and Center. Denver tried to put the best SG and the best SF together and the team didnt do anything. However the team with the best Center (Spurs) and the team with the best PG (Suns) were the two best teams in the league. Plus the most successful PG's in the NBA (Parker, Nash, Kidd, Deron Williams, Chris Paul) are all pass first PG's like Conley.

Since there are no impact Centers outside of Oden, Conley is the only other person in this draft who will dramatically improve the team he gets drafted on.

Biggest bust: Kevin Durant
Duran will undoubtedly be a 25 point scorer for the Sonics, but he will do nothing to improve the win loss record of the team. Durant is a cross between T-Mac and Carmelo and neither of those two players have gotten out of the first round of the playoffs. Given the enormous expectations placed up Durant and the inability of SF's to make a meaningful impact in todays game Durant will end up the bust of this draft.

BaldingReport Out.